Model: TIPPSH

Shanghai Shenhua vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

PREDICTION

@ 1.65

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 24, 2026 4:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 2

StartStarted 48d 4h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 48d 7h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Shanghai Shenhua. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Shanghai Shenhua

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

2/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.74First seen

Current1.65Now

Max odds1.74Highest point

Min odds1.58Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Shanghai ShenhuaHOME

Shenzhen XinpengchengAWAY

LDLDL

Recent form

WDLLD

Avg goals scored

1.20

1.00

Defensive weakness

2.20

1.20

Shots on target for

4.40

3.40

SoT conceded pressure

5.80

3.80

Home splitL-D-D-L-W1.80 scored / 1.80 conceded

Away splitW-L-D-L-L0.80 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.65. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to China Super League (cn). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.65

V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a clear favorite, although the recent form gap is not as dominant as the price might imply. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shanghai Shenhua is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 18.0% 7D: 12.3% 15D: 13.0% 30D: 2.5%

Model insight

Shanghai Shenhua – Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.65. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample197

Win Rate58.4%

Profit-4.06u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	PK Keski-Uusimaa - FC Jazz	1.68	-9.21%
WIN	NWS Spirit FC - St George Saints	1.72	-9.89%
WIN	Njardvik - Grindavik	1.62	-7.35%
LOSS	Atletico Grau - Carlos Manucci	1.64	-7.35%
LOSS	Dundalk - Drogheda United	1.64	-9.21%
WIN	Cento Cuore Harima - Ococias Kyoto AC	1.72	-9.21%
LOSS	Loudoun United FC - Sporting JAX	1.68	-9.21%
WIN	Provincial Osorno - General Velásquez	1.62	-9.21%

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Pick

1 @ 1.65

Kickoff

Mag 24, 2026 4:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970

Start

Started 48d 4h ago

Updated

Updated 48d 7h ago