Maringa FC – Santa Cruz FC

Model: TIPPSH

Maringa FC vs Santa Cruz FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.90
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 24, 2026 2:30 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 49d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 50d 19h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Maringa FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Maringa FC

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

28/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.65First seen
Current1.90Now
Max odds1.97Highest point
Min odds1.65Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Maringa FCHOME
VS
Santa Cruz FCAWAY
DWLWL
Recent form
DWWLL
Avg goals scored
2.00
1.00
Defensive weakness
2.60
0.80
Shots on target for
6.20
2.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.20
3.40
Home splitD-L-W-L-W2.00 scored / 2.60 conceded
Away splitD-W-L-L-D0.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.90. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie C (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.90
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Maringa FC has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 52.8% 7D: 38.0% 15D: 23.3% 30D: 8.4%
Model insight

Maringa FC – Santa Cruz FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.90. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample302
Win Rate47.0%
Profit-25.83u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSLos Angeles FC II - Portland Timbers II2.071.04%
WINHouston Dynamo II - St Louis City II1.891.31%
WINArgentino Merlo - Argentino Quilmes2.101.04%
LOSSDeportivo Moron - Deportivo Madryn1.951.04%
LOSSVikingur Reykjavik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)1.971.04%
WINWarta Sieradz - LKS Lodz II2.051.04%
WINSlovacko - FC Zorya Lugansk1.961.31%
WINEC Juventude - Vila Nova1.841.04%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves11.991.31%05 Jul 16:00
GAIS - Elfsborg11.951.04%12 Jul 16:30
Botafogo PB - AD Confianca12.021.31%13 Jul 00:30
Pick
1 @ 1.90
Kickoff
Mag 24, 2026 2:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Started 49d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 50d 19h ago
Torna in alto