Model: TIPPSA
Sportivo Luqueno – Olimpia Asuncion
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.41
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 23, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 2
StartStarted 3d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.09% · n=286
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3d 3h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Sportivo Luqueno | Olimpia Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-D-L-D-W | W-W-W-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | L-L-W-W (home) | W-L-W-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.75 scored / 1.75 conceded | 1.20 scored / 1.80 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.80 for / 4.80 against | 6.80 for / 4.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.75 for / 5.50 against (home) | 5.40 for / 5.60 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Olimpia Asuncion's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.74First seen
Current2.41Now
Max odds2.50Highest point
Min odds1.74Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Sportivo Luqueno – Olimpia Asuncion Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.41. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -2.09% across 286 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample49
Win Rate38.8%
Profit-4.60u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves - Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 2.26 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Unam Pumas - Cruz Azul | 2.38 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | Philadelphia Union II - Atlanta United II | 2.51 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Frem - Holbæk | 2.39 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | PFC Oleksandria - FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 2.27 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Stjarnan - Fram Reykjavik | 2.55 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | Rebordosa - Leca | 2.36 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Brondby - FC Copenhagen | 2.29 | 0.84% |
Pick
2 @ 2.41
Kickoff
Mag 23, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-2.09% • n=286
Start
Started 3d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 3d 3h ago