Caxias RS – Ituano

Model: TIPPSH

Caxias RS vs Ituano

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.87
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 31, 2026 2:30 AM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 41d 15h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 41d 17h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Caxias RS. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Caxias RS

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

28/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.95First seen
Current1.85Now
Max odds2.00Highest point
Min odds1.84Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Caxias RSHOME
VS
ItuanoAWAY
WDWDD
Recent form
LWWWL
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.20
Defensive weakness
0.40
1.00
Shots on target for
5.80
6.00
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
5.60
Home splitW-W-W-W-W1.80 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-D-D1.20 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.87. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie C (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.87
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 4.3% 7D: 30.4% 15D: 24.4% 30D: 7.1%
Model insight

Caxias RS – Ituano Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.87. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample283
Win Rate46.3%
Profit-30.12u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINArgentino Merlo - Argentino Quilmes2.101.04%
LOSSVikingur Reykjavik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)1.971.04%
WINWarta Sieradz - LKS Lodz II2.051.04%
WINSlovacko - FC Zorya Lugansk1.961.31%
WINEC Juventude - Vila Nova1.841.04%
LOSSHwaseong FC - Paju Frontier FC1.931.04%
LOSSGimcheon Sangmu FC - Bucheon2.061.04%
LOSSDeportivo Maldonado - Albion FC2.101.04%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves11.991.31%05 Jul 16:00
Deportivo Moron - Deportivo Madryn11.951.04%11 Jul 20:00
Houston Dynamo II - St Louis City II11.891.31%12 Jul 01:00
Los Angeles FC II - Portland Timbers II12.071.04%12 Jul 04:00
GAIS - Elfsborg11.951.04%12 Jul 16:30
Pick
1 @ 1.87
Kickoff
Mag 31, 2026 2:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Started 41d 15h ago
Updated
Updated 41d 17h ago
Torna in alto