Caxias RS vs Ituano
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Caxias RS. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Caxias RSValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.87. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie C (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Caxias RS – Ituano Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Argentino Merlo - Argentino Quilmes | 2.10 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 1.97 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Warta Sieradz - LKS Lodz II | 2.05 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Slovacko - FC Zorya Lugansk | 1.96 | 1.31% |
| WIN | EC Juventude - Vila Nova | 1.84 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Hwaseong FC - Paju Frontier FC | 1.93 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Gimcheon Sangmu FC - Bucheon | 2.06 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Deportivo Maldonado - Albion FC | 2.10 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Deportivo Moron - Deportivo Madryn | 1 | 1.95 | 1.04% | 11 Jul 20:00 |
| Houston Dynamo II - St Louis City II | 1 | 1.89 | 1.31% | 12 Jul 01:00 |
| Los Angeles FC II - Portland Timbers II | 1 | 2.07 | 1.04% | 12 Jul 04:00 |
| GAIS - Elfsborg | 1 | 1.95 | 1.04% | 12 Jul 16:30 |