Toluca vs Tigres UANL
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Toluca. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: TolucaValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.98. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to CONCACAF Champions Cup. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Toluca – Tigres UANL Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) - Northern Tigers FC (W) | 2.20 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Los Angeles FC II - Portland Timbers II | 2.07 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Houston Dynamo II - St Louis City II | 1.89 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Argentino Merlo - Argentino Quilmes | 2.10 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Deportivo Moron - Deportivo Madryn | 1.95 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 1.97 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Warta Sieradz - LKS Lodz II | 2.05 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Slovacko - FC Zorya Lugansk | 1.96 | 1.31% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| GAIS - Elfsborg | 1 | 1.95 | 1.04% | 12 Jul 16:30 |
| Botafogo PB - AD Confianca | 1 | 2.02 | 1.31% | 13 Jul 00:30 |
| Figueirense - Volta Redonda | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 14 Jul 01:30 |