Keflavik (W) – IA Akranes (W)

Model: TIPPSH

Keflavik (W) vs IA Akranes (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.02
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 30, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 48d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 48d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Keflavik (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Keflavik (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

37/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.38First seen
Current2.02Now
Max odds2.41Highest point
Min odds1.94Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Keflavik (W)HOME
VS
IA Akranes (W)AWAY
WLDLL
Recent form
LWLLL
Avg goals scored
0.60
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.60
2.20
Shots on target for
6.50
2.67
SoT conceded pressure
4.75
8.00
Home splitW-D-L-W1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L-L0.80 scored / 2.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.02. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland 1 Deild Women (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.02
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Keflavik (W)'s attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 25.5% 7D: 35.4% 15D: 25.0% 30D: 10.3%
Model insight

Keflavik (W) – IA Akranes (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.02. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample341
Win Rate49.0%
Profit-12.51u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSHamrun Spartans - NSI Runavik1.783.37%
WINGimnasia LP (W) - Huracan (W)1.883.37%
LOSSSpartans - Stirling2.252.49%
LOSSWexford FC - Kerry FC1.903.37%
WINAlamein FC (W) - Preston Lions (W)1.903.37%
WINHouston FC - Hill Country Lobos1.853.37%
WINBeijing Guoan - Shandong Taishan1.783.37%
WINBFA Vilnius - FK Ekranas2.253.15%
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Pick
1 @ 2.02
Kickoff
Mag 30, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=795
Start
Started 48d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 48d 14h ago
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