Model: TIPPSA
IF Gnistan – SJK
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.60
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 30, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 2
StartStarted 3d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3d 3h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | IF Gnistan | SJK |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-W-D-W | L-W-L-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-W-L-L (home) | L-W-D-W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.20 scored / 2.00 conceded | 2.60 scored / 1.20 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.60 for / 3.60 against | 5.40 for / 4.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.80 for / 5.20 against (home) | 5.40 for / 5.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 2.6%
7D: 8.3%
15D: 22.4%
30D: 8.9%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.46First seen
Current2.60Now
Max odds2.65Highest point
Min odds2.32Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
IF Gnistan – SJK Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.60. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.13% and 4.13%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample121
Win Rate43.0%
Profit+11.05u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Maldives - Afghanistan | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Chongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan | 2.52 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Deportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota | 2.56 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | NK Radomlje - NS Mura | 2.55 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS FC | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Guayaquil City - Orense | 2.48 | 3.59% |
| WIN | Almagro - San Martin SJ | 2.62 | 4.44% |
| WIN | Polonia Bytom - Slask Wroclaw | 2.57 | 3.31% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retro FC Brasil - America RN | 2 | 2.70 | 3.31% | 30 Apr 02:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.60
Kickoff
Mag 30, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.13% • n=261
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.13% • n=261
Start
Started 3d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 3d 3h ago