Model: TIPPSA

Deportes Recoleta vs San Luis Quillota

PREDICTION

@ 2.60

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 30, 2026 8:30 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 0

StartStarted 49d 10h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.43% · n=79

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.43% · n=79

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 49d 12h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is San Luis Quillota. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: San Luis Quillota

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

43/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.80First seen

Current2.75Now

Max odds2.95Highest point

Min odds2.70Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Deportes RecoletaHOME

San Luis QuillotaAWAY

DDLWL

Recent form

DWWLW

Avg goals scored

1.00

2.20

Defensive weakness

1.20

1.00

Shots on target for

4.60

8.00

SoT conceded pressure

4.80

5.00

Home splitD-D-W-L-D1.00 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitD-L-L-L0.75 scored / 2.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.60. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.43% based on n=79 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Chile Primera B (cl). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.60

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.43% · n=79

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.43% · n=79

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to San Luis Quillota's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 5.5% 7D: 13.1% 15D: 22.4% 30D: 9.5%

Model insight

Deportes Recoleta – San Luis Quillota Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.60. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.43% and 3.43%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample125

Win Rate44.0%

Profit+14.99u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Lipno Steszew - Unia Swarzedz	2.44	4.13%
WIN	KF Drita - FK Kauno Zalgiris	2.85	4.96%
LOSS	Fencibles United - East Coast Bays	2.81	4.96%
WIN	Santamarina Tandil - Club Villa Mitre	2.65	4.13%
WIN	Maldives - Afghanistan	2.63	4.13%
WIN	Chongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan	2.52	3.43%
LOSS	IF Gnistan - SJK	2.51	4.13%
LOSS	NK Radomlje - NS Mura	2.55	4.13%

Active Similar Predictions

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Pick

2 @ 2.60

Kickoff

Mag 30, 2026 8:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.43% • n=79

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

3.43% • n=79

Start

Started 49d 10h ago

Updated

Updated 49d 12h ago