Model: TIPPSH
Real Sociedad (W) – Atletico Madrid (W)
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.20
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 31, 2026 2:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 0
StartStarted 2d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2d 11h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Real Sociedad (W) | Atletico Madrid (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-W-W-W | L-D-L-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-W (home) | L-L-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.33 scored / 0.00 conceded | 1.25 scored / 2.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.60 for / 2.40 against | 6.00 for / 4.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.67 for / 1.67 against (home) | 6.00 for / 4.67 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -3.6%
7D: 15.3%
15D: 21.2%
30D: 10.3%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.94First seen
Current2.20Now
Max odds2.45Highest point
Min odds1.94Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Real Sociedad (W) – Atletico Madrid (W) Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample183
Win Rate42.6%
Profit-20.64u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Club Ingenieros - Real Oruro | 2.38 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Wisla Plock II - GKS Belchatow | 2.25 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | IR Reykjavik - IF Vestri | 2.10 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Coquimbo Unido (W) - Universidad Catolica (W) | 2.31 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Glenorchy Knights FC - Launceston City | 2.38 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Wiener Sportclub - SV Leobendorf | 2.25 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Bangor Celtic FC - St Mochtas | 2.27 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | AF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores | 2.12 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| Quilmes Reserves - Deportivo Riestra Reserves | 1 | 2.15 | 3.37% | 02 Jun 20:00 |
| CA Atlanta - Gimnasia Jujuy | 1 | 2.29 | 3.15% | 06 Jun 18:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.20
Kickoff
Mag 31, 2026 2:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=795
Start
Started 2d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 2d 11h ago