Real Sociedad (W) – Atletico Madrid (W)

Model: TIPPSH

Real Sociedad (W) vs Atletico Madrid (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.20
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 31, 2026 2:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 0
StartStarted 47d 16h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 47d 21h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Real Sociedad (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Real Sociedad (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

39/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.94First seen
Current2.20Now
Max odds2.45Highest point
Min odds1.94Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Real Sociedad (W)HOME
VS
Atletico Madrid (W)AWAY
WLWWW
Recent form
LDLLW
Avg goals scored
2.00
1.40
Defensive weakness
0.60
1.60
Shots on target for
4.60
6.00
SoT conceded pressure
2.40
4.20
Home splitW-W-W2.33 scored / 0.00 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-W1.25 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.20. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Primera Women (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.20
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Real Sociedad (W) a useful statistical edge. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -3.6% 7D: 15.3% 15D: 21.2% 30D: 10.3%
Model insight

Real Sociedad (W) – Atletico Madrid (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample223
Win Rate43.5%
Profit-18.72u
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Pick
1 @ 2.20
Kickoff
Mag 31, 2026 2:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=795
Start
Started 47d 16h ago
Updated
Updated 47d 21h ago
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