Nacional de Muriae U20 – Sao Joao del Rei U20

Model: TIPPSH

Nacional de Muriae U20 vs Sao Joao del Rei U20

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.89
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 30, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 48d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 48d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Nacional de Muriae U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Nacional de Muriae U20

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

27/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.90First seen
Current1.89Now
Max odds1.90Highest point
Min odds1.83Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Nacional de Muriae U20HOME
VS
Sao Joao del Rei U20AWAY
WDDW
Recent form
LDDDL
Avg goals scored
1.25
0.80
Defensive weakness
0.75
1.40
Shots on target for
6.75
3.75
SoT conceded pressure
3.75
6.00
Home splitW-D-W1.67 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-D-L0.33 scored / 1.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.89. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Mineiro U20 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.89
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Nacional de Muriae U20. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Nacional de Muriae U20 has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -0.9% 7D: 15.3% 15D: 21.2% 30D: 10.3%
Model insight

Nacional de Muriae U20 – Sao Joao del Rei U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.89. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample317
Win Rate47.6%
Profit-24.38u
Historical Similar Predictions
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LOSSLeon - Atlas2.061.04%
WINOne Knoxville SC - Fort Wayne FC1.791.04%
WINBotafogo - Santos2.051.31%
LOSSCaen - Paris 13 Atletico1.981.31%
LOSSPerth SC - Western Knights1.861.04%
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Pick
1 @ 1.89
Kickoff
Mag 30, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 48d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 48d 10h ago
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