Model: TIPPSH

Nacional de Muriae U20 vs Sao Joao del Rei U20

PREDICTION

@ 1.89

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 30, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultWIN1 - 0

StartStarted 48d 9h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 48d 11h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Nacional de Muriae U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Nacional de Muriae U20

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

27/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.90First seen

Current1.89Now

Max odds1.90Highest point

Min odds1.83Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Nacional de Muriae U20HOME

Sao Joao del Rei U20AWAY

WDDW

Recent form

LDDDL

Avg goals scored

1.25

0.80

Defensive weakness

0.75

1.40

Shots on target for

6.75

3.75

SoT conceded pressure

3.75

6.00

Home splitW-D-W1.67 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-D-L0.33 scored / 1.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.89. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Mineiro U20 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.89

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Nacional de Muriae U20 has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -0.9% 7D: 15.3% 15D: 21.2% 30D: 10.3%

Model insight

Nacional de Muriae U20 – Sao Joao del Rei U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.89. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample317

Win Rate47.6%

Profit-24.38u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Itabirito U20 - Social FC MG U20	1.97	1.31%
WIN	Zrinjski Mostar - HSK Posusje	1.97	1.31%
LOSS	Springvale White Eagles - Nunawading	2.04	1.31%
LOSS	Leon - Atlas	2.06	1.04%
WIN	One Knoxville SC - Fort Wayne FC	1.79	1.04%
WIN	Botafogo - Santos	2.05	1.31%
LOSS	Caen - Paris 13 Atletico	1.98	1.31%
LOSS	Perth SC - Western Knights	1.86	1.04%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves	1	1.99	1.31%	05 Jul 16:00
Inter Lions - Rydalmere Lions FC	1	1.92	1.31%	18 Jul 09:00
Opava - FC Petrzalka	1	2.04	1.04%	18 Jul 16:00
Servette - St Etienne	1	2.11	1.04%	18 Jul 18:00
Kormakur/Hvot - Dalvik/Reynir	1	2.04	1.04%	18 Jul 19:00
Excursionistas - Argentino Quilmes	1	1.75	1.04%	18 Jul 20:00
Criciuma - Vila Nova	1	1.76	1.31%	18 Jul 21:00
France - England	1	1.99	1.31%	18 Jul 23:00

Pick

1 @ 1.89

Kickoff

Mag 30, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Started 48d 9h ago

Updated

Updated 48d 11h ago