Model: TIPPSH
Itabirito (W) vs Clube Atletico Piauiense (W)
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.22
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 31, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 48d 18h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 48d 21h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Itabirito (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Itabirito (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
31/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.20First seen
Current2.22Now
Max odds2.30Highest point
Min odds2.20Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Itabirito (W)HOME
VS
Clube Atletico Piauiense (W)AWAY
WWWWW
Recent form
LDWWW
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.80
Defensive weakness
0.40
0.80
Shots on target for
5.60
7.40
SoT conceded pressure
6.80
4.00
Home splitW-W-W-W-W2.40 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitL-W-D-L-W1.00 scored / 0.60 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.22. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie A2 Women (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.22
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -0.7%
7D: 9.8%
15D: 22.3%
30D: 12.7%
Model insight
Itabirito (W) – Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.22. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample265
Win Rate46.4%
Profit+0.44u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Changchun Dazhong (W) - Sichuan Jiannanchun Women | 2.13 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) - Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) | 2.00 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Marconi Stallions U20 - Sydney United 58 U20 | 2.23 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Boroondara Eagles (W) - Melbourne Victory NPL (W) | 2.45 | 1.59% |
| WIN | HNK Segesta - Karlovac | 2.40 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | FC Ajka - Csakvari TK | 2.40 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Servette - St Etienne | 2.11 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Hills United FC - Hakoah Sydney City East | 2.24 | 1.04% |
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| FK Zalgiris Vilnius - FK Transinvest | 1 | 2.06 | 1.04% | 19 Jul 18:00 |
| Buzios - Barra Mansa | 1 | 2.35 | 1.59% | 19 Jul 19:00 |
| San Martin SJ - Tristan Suarez | 1 | 2.12 | 1.04% | 20 Jul 20:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.22
Kickoff
Mag 31, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 48d 18h ago
Updated
Updated 48d 21h ago