Buzios – Barra Mansa

Model: TIPPSH

Buzios vs Barra Mansa

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 19, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 0
StartStarted 4h 48m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 7h 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Buzios. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: BuziosGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

36/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.15First seen
Current2.50Now
Max odds2.50Highest point
Min odds1.88Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

BuziosHOME
VS
Barra MansaAWAY
WDDWW
Recent form
LDDDW
Avg goals scored
2.60
1.00
Defensive weakness
0.40
1.00
Shots on target for
7.00
3.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
3.20
Home splitW-D-D-L-D1.20 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-D-W-W0.75 scored / 0.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.50. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Carioca C (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.50
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Buzios. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Buzios's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 23.0% 7D: 22.6% 15D: 15.1% 30D: 19.3%
Model insight

Buzios – Barra Mansa Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.50. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample120
Win Rate40.8%
Profit-1.45u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSHills United FC (W) - Manly Utd (W)2.691.59%
WINBoroondara Eagles (W) - Melbourne Victory NPL (W)2.451.59%
LOSSSport Huancayo II - Comerciantes FC2.531.59%
WINHNK Segesta - Karlovac2.401.59%
LOSSFC Ajka - Csakvari TK2.401.59%
LOSSRiverside Olympic - Clarence Zebras FC2.471.59%
LOSSPK Keski-Uusimaa - OLS2.351.41%
WINAZ Reserves - Ajax Reserves2.251.59%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
North Star - Logan Lightning12.551.59%23 May 09:00
FC Lahti - FC Ilves12.651.59%30 May 16:00
Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves12.401.59%05 Jul 19:00
Vikingur Reykjavik - Hapoel Beer Sheva12.431.59%21 Jul 21:00
AaB - Hillerød12.251.59%24 Jul 19:00
Pick
1 @ 2.50
Kickoff
Lug 19, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Started 4h 48m ago
Updated
Updated 7h 12m ago
Torna in alto