Model: TIPPSH

Sportivo Italiano vs Argentino Merlo

PREDICTION

@ 2.16

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 31, 2026 9:30 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 2

StartStarted 47d 12h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 47d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sportivo Italiano. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sportivo Italiano

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.17First seen

Current2.16Now

Max odds2.20Highest point

Min odds2.12Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sportivo ItalianoHOME

Argentino MerloAWAY

LLWDD

Recent form

WLLDL

Avg goals scored

0.60

0.40

Defensive weakness

1.00

0.80

Shots on target for

3.00

2.60

SoT conceded pressure

3.00

4.20

Home splitL-L-D-W-W1.00 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitW-L-D-D-L0.60 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.16. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Primera B Metropolitana (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.16

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 2.6% 7D: 8.1% 15D: 23.3% 30D: 11.9%

Model insight

Sportivo Italiano – Argentino Merlo Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.16. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample285

Win Rate46.3%

Profit-5.75u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Ocean City Nor'easters - FC Motown STA	2.24	1.04%
WIN	Itabirito U20 - Social FC MG U20	1.97	1.31%
WIN	Zrinjski Mostar - HSK Posusje	1.97	1.31%
LOSS	Springvale White Eagles - Nunawading	2.04	1.31%
WIN	AZ Reserves - Ajax Reserves	2.25	1.59%
LOSS	Leon - Atlas	2.06	1.04%
WIN	Keflavik (W) - Haukar (W)	2.32	1.59%
LOSS	Sao Luis MA - Pinheiro AC	2.35	1.59%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola	1	2.17	1.04%	30 May 18:30
Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves	1	1.99	1.31%	05 Jul 16:00
Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves	1	2.40	1.59%	05 Jul 19:00
Hills United FC - Hakoah Sydney City East	1	2.24	1.04%	18 Jul 09:00
Inter Lions - Rydalmere Lions FC	1	1.92	1.31%	18 Jul 09:00
HNK Segesta - Karlovac	1	2.40	1.59%	18 Jul 10:00
FC Ajka - Csakvari TK	1	2.40	1.59%	18 Jul 10:00
Mount Gravatt Hawks - Logan Roos FC	1	2.15	1.04%	18 Jul 11:00

Pick

1 @ 2.16

Kickoff

Mag 31, 2026 9:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Started 47d 12h ago

Updated

Updated 47d 14h ago