Wellington Phoenix Reserves vs Island Bay United
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Wellington Phoenix Reserves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Wellington Phoenix ReservesValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.50. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.38% based on n=1115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to New Zealand Cup (nz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The current price indicates market confidence, even if recent form does not show an overwhelming gap. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.
Wellington Phoenix Reserves – Island Bay United Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Santa Cruz Acre U20 - Independencia FC U20 | 1.62 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | GKS Tychy 71 - MSK Povazska Bystrica | 1.73 | -1.89% |
| WIN | NEC - Al Fayha | 1.67 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Club Aurora - Oriente Petrolero | 1.62 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Shanghai Port U20 - Shandong Taishan U20 | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Viimsi JK (W) - Saku Sporting (W) | 1.70 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | FC Baleine Shimonoseki - Variamore Aki | 1.62 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Wisla Krakow - SK Artis Brno | 1.73 | -3.38% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Levadia Tallinn U19 - FA Tartu Kalev | 1 | 1.73 | -3.82% | 19 Jul 11:30 |
| JK Trans Narva II - Parnu JK Vaprus II | 1 | 1.53 | -1.89% | 19 Jul 11:30 |
| Toluca - Unam Pumas | 1 | 1.70 | -1.89% | 22 Jul 05:00 |