San Luis Quillota – San Marcos De Arica

Model: TIPPSH

San Luis Quillota vs San Marcos De Arica

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.48
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 06, 2026 4:00 AM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 47d 16h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.15% · n=323
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 47d 18h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is San Luis Quillota. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: San Luis QuillotaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

41/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.30First seen
Current2.48Now
Max odds2.48Highest point
Min odds2.18Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

San Luis QuillotaHOME
VS
San Marcos De AricaAWAY
WDWWL
Recent form
LLWDD
Avg goals scored
1.60
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.00
Shots on target for
5.80
4.40
SoT conceded pressure
4.80
5.80
Home splitW-W-W-W-W2.60 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-W-D-W-W2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.48. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.15% based on n=323 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Chile Primera B (cl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.48
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.15% · n=323
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for San Luis Quillota. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to San Luis Quillota's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -6.2% 7D: -11.9% 15D: 14.6% 30D: 14.1%
Model insight

San Luis Quillota – San Marcos De Arica Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.48. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.15% across 323 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample76
Win Rate47.4%
Profit+10.46u
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Pick
1 @ 2.48
Kickoff
Giu 06, 2026 4:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.15% • n=323
Start
Started 47d 16h ago
Updated
Updated 47d 18h ago
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