Model: TipA1
Matonense U23 – Sao Carlos U23
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.80
StatusUpcoming
KickoffGiu 07, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 19h 35m
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.52% · n=654
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.82% · n=246
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 4m ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Matonense U23 | Sao Carlos U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-W-W-W | L-D-L-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-W-W (home) | L-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.00 scored / 1.25 conceded | 1.33 scored / 2.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.00 for / 5.60 against | 6.75 for / 5.75 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.67 for / 2.67 against (home) | 5.00 for / 6.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Sao Carlos U23's attacking profile.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -12.1%
7D: -11.7%
15D: -0.6%
30D: 15.1%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.30First seen
Current3.00Now
Max odds3.30Highest point
Min odds3.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Matonense U23 – Sao Carlos U23 Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.80. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.52% across 654 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.82% across 246 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample75
Win Rate37.3%
Profit+4.04u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | CD Moron U20 - CA San Telmo U20 | 3.00 | 5.52% |
| WIN | Sao Bento U20 - Uniao Suzano AC U20 | 2.88 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Valtti - HPS II | 3.00 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Western City Rangers - Canterbury Bankstown FC | 2.63 | 6.36% |
| WIN | SV Wals-Grünau - SCR Altach II | 3.00 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Yadanarbon FC U20 - Thitsar Arman FC U20 | 2.75 | 5.52% |
| WIN | Morris Elite - Manhattan SC | 2.75 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Heming - FK Union Carl Berner | 2.88 | 5.52% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viettel FC - Cong An Ha Noi | 2 | 2.90 | 5.52% | 07 Jun 13:00 |
| Cigand SE - FC Nagykanizsa | 2 | 2.80 | 5.52% | 07 Jun 17:00 |
Pick
2 @ 2.80
Kickoff
Giu 07, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.52% • n=654
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.82% • n=246
Start
Starts in 19h 35m
Updated
Updated 4m ago