Matonense U23 – Sao Carlos U23

Model: TIPPSA

Matonense U23 vs Sao Carlos U23

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 07, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 45d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.09% · n=286
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 45d 13h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sao Carlos U23. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sao Carlos U23Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

23/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.30First seen
Current2.53Now
Max odds3.30Highest point
Min odds2.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Matonense U23HOME
VS
Sao Carlos U23AWAY
DWLWW
Recent form
DLDLL
Avg goals scored
1.80
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.80
Shots on target for
2.80
6.40
SoT conceded pressure
6.00
4.80
Home splitD-L-W-W-W1.80 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitD-L-L-W1.25 scored / 1.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.50. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.09% based on n=286 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Paulista Serie B (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.50
V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 BandNONEROI -2.09% · n=286
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Sao Carlos U23. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Sao Carlos U23 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -19.6% 7D: -14.1% 15D: -3.0% 30D: 13.1%
Model insight

Matonense U23 – Sao Carlos U23 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.50. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -2.09% across 286 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample52
Win Rate46.2%
Profit+6.57u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSArgentino Merlo - Deportivo Armenio2.720.84%
LOSSHolstein Kiel - Al Ahli Jeddah2.420.84%
WINBentleigh Greens - Altona Magic2.290.84%
LOSSMontevideo Wanderers Reserves - Penarol Reserves2.590.84%
WINKhangarid Klub - Deren FC2.630.84%
WINTulsa - Colorado Switchbacks FC2.670.84%
LOSSGalway United - Derry City2.350.84%
WINLyn 1896 - Bryne2.530.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.50
Kickoff
Giu 07, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-2.09% • n=286
Start
Started 45d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 45d 13h ago
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