Ilvamaddalena vs Polisportiva Pietralunghese
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Ilvamaddalena. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: IlvamaddalenaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.00. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Italy Eccellenza (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Ilvamaddalena has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Ilvamaddalena – Polisportiva Pietralunghese Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Luton - Go Ahead Eagles | 2.25 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Täfteå IK - Gottne IF | 2.19 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | FC Yaypan Fergana - Fardu Ferghana | 2.15 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Beitar Jerusalem - AEK Larnaca | 1.95 | 3.37% |
| WIN | St Johnstone - Kilmarnock | 2.20 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Sekhukhune United FC - Durban City | 1.88 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Feyenoord - Rayo Vallecano | 2.08 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Ajax - Burnley | 2.04 | 3.37% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
| Gold Coast Knights (W) - Brisbane City (W) | 1 | 2.20 | 3.37% | 04 Aug 11:30 |