Model: TIPPSA
Hetman Tykocin – Turosnianka Turosn Koscielna
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.86
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 12, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 3
StartStarted 6d 14h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.96% · n=166
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6d 17h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Hetman Tykocin | Turosnianka Turosn Koscielna |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L | W-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.50 | 2.33 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| Home/Away form | L (home) | W-W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.00 scored / 3.00 conceded | 2.33 scored / 2.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.00 for / 9.50 against | 7.67 for / 5.67 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 7.00 for / 7.00 against (home) | 7.67 for / 5.67 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Turosnianka Turosn Koscielna has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 27.8%
7D: 6.3%
15D: -1.6%
30D: 14.2%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.50First seen
Current2.93Now
Max odds3.13Highest point
Min odds2.45Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Hetman Tykocin – Turosnianka Turosn Koscielna Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.86. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.96% across 166 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample48
Win Rate39.6%
Profit+3.31u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Santamarina Tandil - Kimberley Mar del Plata | 3.01 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Deportes Copiapo - Santiago Wanderers | 2.92 | 4.96% |
| WIN | New Zealand (W) - Haiti (W) | 2.86 | 4.96% |
| WIN | Maldives - Afghanistan | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Qingdao West Coast - Shanghai Shenhua | 2.91 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Cadiz - Leganes | 2.86 | 4.96% |
| WIN | Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS FC | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng - Dalian Young Boy | 2.88 | 4.96% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retro FC Brasil - America RN | 2 | 2.70 | 3.31% | 30 Apr 02:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.86
Kickoff
Giu 12, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.96% • n=166
Start
Started 6d 14h ago
Updated
Updated 6d 17h ago