Model: TIPPSH
Birkenhead United – Auckland City
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.93
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 20, 2026 10:00 AM
ResultWIN3 - 2
StartStarted 1h 11m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 13h 11m ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Birkenhead United | Auckland City |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-W-W-W | W-D-D-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-W-W-W (home) | D-W-W-D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.80 scored / 0.80 conceded | 1.40 scored / 0.60 conceded |
| Shots on target | 8.20 for / 2.40 against | 5.20 for / 4.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 8.60 for / 2.20 against (home) | 4.00 for / 4.40 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Birkenhead United's attacking profile.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 7.7%
7D: -10.4%
15D: -7.4%
30D: 9.2%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.83First seen
Current1.93Now
Max odds1.93Highest point
Min odds1.83Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Birkenhead United – Auckland City Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.93. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample228
Win Rate43.4%
Profit-35.07u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Griffins FC (W) - City SC Utah (W) | 1.82 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Shanghai (W) - Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) | 1.89 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Texoma FC - West Texas FC | 1.75 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Eastern Lions - Springvale White Eagles | 2.05 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | CA San Telmo Reserves - CA San Miguel Reserves | 2.03 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 - Sutherland Sharks | 1.94 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Heidelberg Utd - Preston Lions | 1.91 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Bonsucesso FC - Cabofriense | 2.01 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Ullern - KFUM 2 | 1 | 1.84 | 1.04% | 20 Jun 13:00 |
| BFC Daugavpils - SC Grobinas | 1 | 1.92 | 1.04% | 20 Jun 15:00 |
| Rosenborg (W) - Valerenga (W) | 1 | 2.14 | 1.04% | 20 Jun 17:00 |
| FC Bosna Neuchatel - FC Collex Bossy | 1 | 1.76 | 1.04% | 20 Jun 17:00 |
| Deportivo Armenio - CSD Flandria | 1 | 2.17 | 1.31% | 20 Jun 20:30 |
| Botafogo PB - Volta Redonda | 1 | 2.01 | 1.31% | 20 Jun 22:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.93
Kickoff
Giu 20, 2026 10:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Started 1h 11m ago
Updated
Updated 13h 11m ago