Model: TIPPSH

Harju JK Laagri vs JK Nomme United

PREDICTION

@ 2.18

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 20, 2026 3:30 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 3

StartStarted 45d 20h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 45d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Harju JK Laagri. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Harju JK LaagriGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.33First seen

Current2.18Now

Max odds2.33Highest point

Min odds2.00Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Harju JK LaagriHOME

JK Nomme UnitedAWAY

LLLWL

Recent form

WLWLL

Avg goals scored

1.20

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.60

2.00

Shots on target for

3.40

2.40

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

5.00

Home splitL-L-W-L-W1.60 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitW-W-L-L-W2.00 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.18. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Estonia Meistriliiga (ee). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.18

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Harju JK Laagri has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 10.0% 7D: -6.9% 15D: -5.3% 30D: 9.4%

Model insight

Harju JK Laagri – JK Nomme United Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.18. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample393

Win Rate47.3%

Profit+3.02u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Nublense - Rangers de Talca	2.09	1.04%
WIN	Academia de Balompie Boliviano - Real Oruro	2.05	1.04%
WIN	Persebaya Surabaya - Arema FC	2.19	1.04%
WIN	FC Cincinnati - Pachuca	2.07	1.04%
WIN	Torque Reserves - Deportivo Maldonado Reserves	1.99	1.04%
LOSS	Dynamo Makhachkala - Krylia Sovetov	2.08	1.04%
LOSS	Real Frontera - Atletico El Vigia	2.04	1.04%
LOSS	Racing Club (W) - Boca Juniors (W)	2.16	1.31%

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Pick

1 @ 2.18

Kickoff

Giu 20, 2026 3:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Started 45d 20h ago

Updated

Updated 45d 23h ago