Model: TIPPSH

BK Forward vs Fittja IF

PREDICTION

@ 1.80

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 21, 2026 3:00 PM

ResultWIN3 - 1

StartStarted 46d 12h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 46d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is BK Forward. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: BK ForwardGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

26/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.75First seen

Current1.80Now

Max odds1.87Highest point

Min odds1.75Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

BK ForwardHOME

Fittja IFAWAY

WDWLW

Recent form

LWWWL

Avg goals scored

2.20

1.60

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.00

Shots on target for

8.60

3.00

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

5.60

Home splitW-D-W-W-W3.20 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitL-W-L-L-L1.40 scored / 2.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.80. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.80

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. BK Forward is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 1.8% 7D: -3.2% 15D: -7.3% 30D: 5.7%

Model insight

BK Forward – Fittja IF Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.80. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample378

Win Rate48.1%

Profit-33.78u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Thor/THK/Vols/Magni U19 - Throttur Reykjavik/SR/Hamar U19	2.01	1.04%
WIN	Freiburg (W) - Nurnberg (W)	1.82	1.31%
WIN	Academia Puerto Cabello - Caracas	1.85	1.04%
WIN	Monaco - Getafe	1.96	1.04%
WIN	Queanbeyan City - Tuggeranong Utd	1.92	1.31%
LOSS	Queanbeyan City U23 - Tuggeranong United U23	1.88	1.31%
WIN	Keflavik - KA Akureyri	1.98	1.04%
WIN	SalPa - JJK	1.88	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 1.80

Kickoff

Giu 21, 2026 3:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Started 46d 12h ago

Updated

Updated 46d 16h ago