Valur Reykjavik vs Keflavik
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Keflavik. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: KeflavikValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.87. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.49% based on n=175 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland Premier League (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market prices Keflavik as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Keflavik is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Valur Reykjavik – Keflavik Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Bahir Dar Kenema FC - Wolaita Dicha | 2.82 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Belgrano (W) - CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 3.02 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Blacktown Spartans U20 - Bankstown City Lions U20 | 2.94 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Defensores de Belgrano VR - CA Douglas Haig | 2.86 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Egypt (W) - Tunisia (W) | 2.78 | -1.07% |
| WIN | Albania - Israel | 2.86 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | PSG - Arsenal | 3.12 | -1.07% |
| WIN | FC Chernigiv - FC Metalist Kharkiv | 2.77 | -1.07% |