Cabofriense vs Perolas Negras
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Perolas Negras. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Perolas NegrasGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.00. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.99% based on n=49 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Perolas Negras shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Perolas Negras's attacking profile.
Cabofriense – Perolas Negras Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Osasuna - Al Ain SCC | 4.10 | 2.78% |
| LOSS | AFC Wimbledon - Newport County | 4.20 | 3.92% |
| LOSS | CSD Municipal - Cartagines | 3.85 | 2.78% |
| LOSS | Rosario Central - Racing Club | 3.80 | 3.92% |
| LOSS | CD Los Chankas - Sport Boys | 4.07 | 3.92% |
| LOSS | Ituano - Figueirense | 3.81 | 2.78% |
| LOSS | Sarpsborg 08 U19 - KFUM U19 | 3.89 | 3.99% |
| LOSS | Vaxjo (W) - IK Uppsala (W) | 4.17 | 3.92% |