Model: TIPPSH

Cuiaba vs America MG

PREDICTION

@ 2.13

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 03, 2026 2:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 15h

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.72% · n=285

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.72% · n=285

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Cuiaba. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Cuiaba

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

50/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CuiabaHOME

America MGAWAY

DLWWW

Recent form

LLWLL

Avg goals scored

1.40

0.80

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.40

Shots on target for

6.00

5.40

SoT conceded pressure

3.00

6.60

Home splitD-W-W-D-D1.20 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitL-W-L-D-L0.80 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.13. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.72% based on n=285 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie B (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.13

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.72% · n=285

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.72% · n=285

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model places this selection in a historically favorable confidence range.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 20.5% 7D: 14.7% 15D: 7.4% 30D: 0.9%

Model insight

Cuiaba – America MG Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.13. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.72% and 6.72%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample17

Win Rate41.2%

Profit-2.52u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	CRB - Fortaleza	2.17	6.72%
WIN	University NSW U20 - St George Saints U20	1.96	6.72%
WIN	Jincheon HR - Gijang United	1.90	6.72%
LOSS	KTP - FC Haka	2.12	6.72%
WIN	Henan U20 - Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20	2.04	6.72%
LOSS	KA Akureyri - Valur Reykjavik	2.30	6.90%
LOSS	FBK Karlstad - Umeå FC	2.30	6.90%
LOSS	Operario PR - Chapecoense	2.34	6.90%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
LKS Lodz II - OKS Swit Skolwin	1	2.35	6.90%	08 May 17:00
Belgium - Senegal	1	2.12	6.72%	01 Jul 22:00

Pick

1 @ 2.13

Kickoff

Lug 03, 2026 2:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.72% • n=285

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.72% • n=285

Start

Starts in 2d 15h

Updated

Updated 1d 23h ago