Almagro vs Atletico Rafaela
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Almagro. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: AlmagroValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.35. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.70% based on n=209 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Nacional B (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Almagro a useful statistical edge. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Almagro – Atletico Rafaela Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Belconnen United U23 - Canberra Juventus U23 | 2.25 | 1.59% |
| WIN | America RJ - Serrano | 2.15 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Olaria AC - Bonsucesso FC | 2.19 | 1.04% |
| WIN | CA Atlanta Reserves - Tristan Suarez Reserves | 2.26 | 1.59% |
| WIN | CD Moron Reserves - Acassuso Reserves | 2.12 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | FC Iberia 1999 - Torpedo Kutaisi | 2.50 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Jeonbuk Motors - Gangwon FC | 2.30 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Arsenal de Sarandi - CS Dock Sud | 2.18 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Star - Logan Lightning | 1 | 2.55 | 1.59% | 23 May 09:00 |
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| Deportivo Maipu - Agropecuario | 1 | 2.13 | 1.04% | 05 Jul 21:30 |
| Athletic Club MG - Operario PR | 1 | 2.49 | 1.59% | 08 Jul 01:00 |