Model: TipTromba3H

Tabasalu FC Charma vs Parnu JK Vaprus II

PREDICTION

@ 2.70

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 05, 2026 7:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 12h 34m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.03% · n=612

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 6h 35m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Tabasalu FC Charma. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Tabasalu FC Charma

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

32/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.70First seen

Current2.75Now

Max odds2.75Highest point

Min odds2.70Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Tabasalu FC CharmaHOME

Parnu JK Vaprus IIAWAY

WWWWL

Recent form

WDWLL

Avg goals scored

3.60

2.60

Defensive weakness

1.60

2.20

Shots on target for

4.40

6.60

SoT conceded pressure

5.80

7.80

Home splitW-W-L-L-W1.60 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-L-W2.40 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.70. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.03% based on n=612 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Estonia Esiliiga B (ee). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.70

V2 BandLOWROI 0.03% · n=612

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 43.4% 7D: 75.5% 15D: 28.9% 30D: 11.8%

Model insight

Tabasalu FC Charma – Parnu JK Vaprus II Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.70. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.03% across 612 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample41

Win Rate34.1%

Profit-4.17u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Risaleh Toura - Salam Zgharta	2.88	0.71%
LOSS	Chatham Town - Slough	2.50	0.03%
LOSS	Weston FC - Lakeland United FC USL 2	2.70	0.03%
LOSS	Velago Ikoma - Arterivo Wakayama	2.80	0.71%
LOSS	Esbjerg - Vejle	2.50	0.03%
LOSS	IBU Uppsveitir - SR Reykjavik	2.63	0.03%
LOSS	Puiu - HPS	2.50	0.03%
LOSS	Atletico Colegiales - Club Olimpia de Ita	2.60	0.03%

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Pick

1 @ 2.70

Kickoff

Lug 05, 2026 7:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.03% • n=612

Start

Starts in 12h 34m

Updated

Updated 6h 35m ago