Model: TIPPSH
Puiu vs HPS
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.53
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 27, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 2
StartStarted 47d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 47d 4h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Puiu. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: PuiuGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
36/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.50First seen
Current2.53Now
Max odds2.54Highest point
Min odds2.50Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
PuiuHOME
VS
HPSAWAY
LDLLL
Recent form
WLWDW
Avg goals scored
0.20
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.80
0.80
Shots on target for
4.40
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
7.80
5.40
Home splitL-D-L-L-L0.40 scored / 1.80 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-W-W2.20 scored / 0.20 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.53. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kakkonen Group A (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.53
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -13.6%
7D: -11.6%
15D: -9.8%
30D: -3.2%
Model insight
Puiu – HPS Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.53. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample175
Win Rate37.7%
Profit-13.18u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Zamora CF - Cultural Leonesa | 2.73 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Flamengo SP U20 - GO Audax U20 | 2.37 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | SalPa 2 - LTU | 2.57 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Academia Anzoategui FC - Portuguesa | 2.68 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Huachipato (W) - Palestino (W) | 2.37 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | JS Hercules - SJK Akatemia II | 2.32 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Polonia Sroda Slaska - Moto Jelcz Olawa | 2.62 | 1.59% |
| WIN | MKS Kluczbork - Gornik Polkowice | 2.30 | 1.59% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Star - Logan Lightning | 1 | 2.55 | 1.59% | 23 May 09:00 |
| FC Lahti - FC Ilves | 1 | 2.65 | 1.59% | 30 May 16:00 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| UAI Urquiza - Argentino Quilmes | 1 | 2.74 | 1.59% | 01 Aug 20:00 |
| Gold Coast United - Eastern Suburbs | 1 | 2.55 | 1.59% | 14 Aug 11:30 |
| Cerrito - Club Oriental | 1 | 2.59 | 1.59% | 14 Aug 20:00 |
| Deportivo Recoleta - 2 de Mayo | 1 | 2.43 | 1.59% | 14 Aug 23:30 |
| Sao Bernardo SP - Botafogo SP | 1 | 2.30 | 1.59% | 15 Aug 00:30 |
Pick
1 @ 2.53
Kickoff
Giu 27, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Started 47d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 47d 4h ago