Puiu – HPS

Model: TIPPSH

Puiu vs HPS

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.53
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 27, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 2
StartStarted 4h 43m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6h 55m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Puiu. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Puiu

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

36/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.50First seen
Current2.53Now
Max odds2.54Highest point
Min odds2.50Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

PuiuHOME
VS
HPSAWAY
LDLLL
Recent form
WLWDW
Avg goals scored
0.20
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.80
0.80
Shots on target for
4.40
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
7.80
5.40
Home splitL-D-L-L-L0.40 scored / 1.80 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-W-W2.20 scored / 0.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.53. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kakkonen Group A (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.53
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -15.8% 7D: -13.0% 15D: -10.3% 30D: -3.4%
Model insight

Puiu – HPS Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.53. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample83
Win Rate37.3%
Profit-7.66u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSClub Atletico Mitre Reserves - CA San Telmo Reserves2.371.59%
LOSSFC Ilves - SJK2.331.59%
LOSSIF Gnistan - VPS Vaasa2.581.59%
LOSSHJK Helsinki - KuPS Kuopio2.301.59%
LOSSEgypt - Iran2.471.59%
LOSSDeportivo Paraguayo Reserves - CA Atlas Reserves2.501.59%
LOSSWelwalo Adigrat - Hadiya Hossana2.731.59%
LOSSBATE Borisov - FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk2.331.59%
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Pick
1 @ 2.53
Kickoff
Giu 27, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Started 4h 43m ago
Updated
Updated 6h 55m ago
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