Model: TIPPSH

Wisla Krakow vs MFK Karvina

PREDICTION

@ 1.99

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 04, 2026 2:00 PM

ResultWIN2 - 0

StartStarted 1d 19h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.72% · n=285

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.72% · n=285

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 2d 8h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Wisla Krakow. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Wisla Krakow

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

48/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.40First seen

Current2.26Now

Max odds2.48Highest point

Min odds2.26Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Wisla KrakowHOME

MFK KarvinaAWAY

WWLWW

Recent form

LLWLW

Avg goals scored

2.40

1.40

Defensive weakness

0.80

2.20

Shots on target for

7.20

2.60

SoT conceded pressure

1.60

6.40

Home splitW-W-L-W-W2.60 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-L-W-W-W1.60 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.99. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.72% based on n=285 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.99

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.72% · n=285

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.72% · n=285

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Wisla Krakow. The HIGH confidence band reinforces the selection, with comparable historical cases showing a stronger expected profile. Wisla Krakow has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 43.0% 7D: 73.0% 15D: 29.3% 30D: 12.3%

Model insight

Wisla Krakow – MFK Karvina Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.99. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.72% and 6.72%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample13

Win Rate53.8%

Profit+0.86u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Belgium - Senegal	2.12	6.72%
LOSS	CRB - Fortaleza	2.17	6.72%
WIN	University NSW U20 - St George Saints U20	1.96	6.72%
WIN	Jincheon HR - Gijang United	1.90	6.72%
LOSS	KTP - FC Haka	2.12	6.72%
WIN	Keflavik - Thor Akureyri	1.82	6.72%
WIN	Henan U20 - Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20	2.04	6.72%
LOSS	National Bank - El Gounah	1.76	5.21%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Botafogo SP - Avai	1	1.96	6.72%	07 Jul 00:00

Pick

1 @ 1.99

Kickoff

Lug 04, 2026 2:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.72% • n=285

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.72% • n=285

Start

Started 1d 19h ago

Updated

Updated 2d 8h ago