Newmarket vs AC Carina
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Newmarket. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: NewmarketValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.16. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Queensland Premier League 3 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Newmarket. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Newmarket – AC Carina Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | St Polten - SK Artis Brno | 2.03 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Flamengo SP U20 - XV de Jau U20 | 2.06 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Liaoning Tieren U20 - Qingdao Hainiu U20 | 1.93 | 1.04% |
| WIN | CA Atlanta Reserves - Tristan Suarez Reserves | 2.26 | 1.59% |
| WIN | CD Moron Reserves - Acassuso Reserves | 2.12 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Houston FC - Twin City Toucans | 1.93 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Switzerland - Algeria | 2.05 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Arsenal de Sarandi - CS Dock Sud | 2.18 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Belconnen United U23 - Canberra Juventus U23 | 1 | 2.25 | 1.59% | 04 Jul 06:15 |
| Manly Utd - SD Raiders | 1 | 2.02 | 1.04% | 04 Jul 09:00 |
| Jeonbuk Motors - Gangwon FC | 1 | 2.30 | 1.59% | 04 Jul 12:30 |
| Bryne - Sandnes Ulf | 1 | 1.95 | 1.04% | 04 Jul 18:00 |
| Olaria AC - Bonsucesso FC | 1 | 2.19 | 1.04% | 04 Jul 19:45 |
| America RJ - Serrano | 1 | 2.15 | 1.04% | 04 Jul 19:45 |
| Almagro - Atletico Rafaela | 1 | 2.21 | 1.04% | 04 Jul 20:30 |