Model: TIPPSH

Loudoun United FC vs Sporting JAX

PREDICTION

@ 1.68

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 04, 2026 3:30 AM

ResultLOSS2 - 2

StartStarted 49d 14h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 49d 17h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Loudoun United FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Loudoun United FCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

3/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.61First seen

Current1.68Now

Max odds1.69Highest point

Min odds1.61Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Loudoun United FCHOME

Sporting JAXAWAY

DLDLL

Recent form

DLLLL

Avg goals scored

1.20

1.40

Defensive weakness

2.80

3.40

Shots on target for

6.20

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

6.40

7.80

Home splitD-L-W-D-D1.40 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitD-L-D-W-L1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.68. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA USL Championship (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.68

V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The current price indicates market confidence, even if recent form does not show an overwhelming gap. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Loudoun United FC's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 27.3% 7D: 52.5% 15D: 26.1% 30D: 11.2%

Model insight

Loudoun United FC – Sporting JAX Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.68. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample408

Win Rate61.0%

Profit+9.66u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	AKS SMS Lodz - Orzel Parzeczew	1.62	-9.21%
LOSS	South Coast Flame FC - Gladesville Ryde Magic	1.73	-9.21%
LOSS	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kawasaki Frontale	1.68	-4.66%
LOSS	Olympic Kingsway - Fremantle City FC	1.74	-9.21%
LOSS	EC Sao Bernardo U20 - Velo Clube U20	1.74	-10.11%
WIN	Al Bataeh - Al Ittifaq Dubai	1.62	-9.21%
LOSS	Academia Costa Del Este - Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	1.69	-9.21%
LOSS	Newport City FC - Baglan Dragons	1.64	-9.21%

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Pick

1 @ 1.68

Kickoff

Lug 04, 2026 3:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970

Start

Started 49d 14h ago

Updated

Updated 49d 17h ago