Cittadella vs US Pergolettese
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Cittadella. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: CittadellaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.074 | A: 0.171Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.67. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Italy Serie C Group A (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The current price indicates market confidence, even if recent form does not show an overwhelming gap. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Cittadella has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Cittadella – US Pergolettese Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Al Bataeh - Al Ittifaq Dubai | 1.62 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Academia Costa Del Este - Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | 1.69 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Newport City FC - Baglan Dragons | 1.64 | -9.21% |
| WIN | FK Liepaja - SC Grobinas | 1.63 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | Mohun Bagan SG - Northeast United | 1.66 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) - Fram Reykjavik (W) | 1.69 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Real Oviedo B - Caudal | 1.72 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Club Sport Colombia - Presidente Hayes | 1.69 | -9.21% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Cherno More Varna - Dunav Ruse | 1 | 1.62 | -4.66% | 21 Aug 20:15 |
| Olimpija Ljubljana - NK Nafta 1903 | 1 | 1.64 | -9.21% | 21 Aug 20:15 |
| Afan Lido - Pontardawe Town | 1 | 1.64 | -7.35% | 21 Aug 20:30 |
| Pontypridd Utd - Trethomas Bluebirds AFC | 1 | 1.69 | -9.21% | 21 Aug 20:30 |
| Dundalk - Galway United | 1 | 1.74 | -10.11% | 21 Aug 20:45 |
| Olympic Kingsway - Fremantle City FC | 1 | 1.74 | -9.21% | 22 Aug 09:00 |