Dinamo Zagreb – NK Varazdin

Model: TIPPSH

Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Varazdin

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.63
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 22, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 1
StartStarted 21h 5m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -10.11% · n=160
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -10.11% · n=160
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Dinamo Zagreb. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Dinamo ZagrebGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.080 | A: 0.116

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

2/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.32First seen
Current1.63Now
Max odds1.64Highest point
Min odds1.32Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Dinamo ZagrebHOME
VS
NK VarazdinAWAY
WDWWW
Recent form
LWWWL
Avg goals scored
3.20
1.80
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.40
Shots on target for
8.00
4.40
SoT conceded pressure
1.80
5.60
Home splitW-D-W-W-W3.20 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-W-L1.40 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.63. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -10.11% based on n=160 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Croatia HNL (hr). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.63
V2 BandNONEROI -10.11% · n=160
V4 BandNONEROI -10.11% · n=160
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market strongly favors Dinamo Zagreb, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Dinamo Zagreb is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 46.5% 7D: 30.9% 15D: 4.9% 30D: 5.9%
Model insight

Dinamo Zagreb – NK Varazdin Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.63. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -10.11% and -10.11%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample426
Win Rate60.8%
Profit+8.44u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSShenzhen 2028 - Hubei Istar1.74-9.21%
LOSSRSD Jette - CS Entite Manageoise1.67-9.21%
WINPaide Linnameeskond - JK Nomme United1.63-9.21%
WINWuhan Three Towns Reserves - Ganzhou Ruishi1.68-6.04%
LOSSCSA Steaua Bucuresti - CSC Dumbravita1.65-9.21%
LOSSCruz Azul - Atlas1.63-7.35%
WINFK Podgorica - FK Kom Podgorica1.71-9.89%
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Pick
1 @ 1.63
Kickoff
Ago 22, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -10.11% • n=160
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-10.11% • n=160
Start
Started 21h 5m ago
Updated
Updated 1d ago
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