Model: TIPPSH

Livingston vs Hearts

PREDICTION

@ 3.90

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 10, 2026 10:45 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 14h 31m

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.56% · n=52

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.56% · n=52

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 8h 15m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Livingston. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Livingston

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

61/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds5.00First seen

Current4.36Now

Max odds5.48Highest point

Min odds4.20Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

LivingstonHOME

HeartsAWAY

WWLDL

Recent form

LWDWW

Avg goals scored

1.20

1.80

Defensive weakness

1.40

1.20

Shots on target for

6.00

4.20

SoT conceded pressure

2.60

2.80

Home splitW-L-D-D1.75 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitL-D-W-D1.50 scored / 1.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.90. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.56% based on n=52 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd3.90

V2 BandHIGHROI 5.56% · n=52

V4 BandHIGHROI 5.56% · n=52

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Livingston. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. Livingston is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -28.9% 7D: 3.2% 15D: 22.0% 30D: 12.5%

Model insight

Livingston – Hearts Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.90. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.56% and 5.56%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample5

Win Rate20.0%

Profit-1.18u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Guangxi Hengchen - Shandong Taishan	4.11	5.87%
LOSS	Lyn 1896 U19 - Molde U19	3.90	5.87%
WIN	HUSA Agadir - RSB Berkane	3.82	5.87%
LOSS	El Salvador (W) - Costa Rica (W)	3.70	7.69%
LOSS	Club 9 de Octubre - Manta FC	3.70	7.69%

Pick

1 @ 3.90

Kickoff

Lug 10, 2026 10:45 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 5.56% • n=52

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

5.56% • n=52

Start

Starts in 14h 31m

Updated

Updated 8h 15m ago