Botafogo PB vs AD Confianca
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Botafogo PB. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Botafogo PBValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.02. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie C (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Botafogo PB is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Botafogo PB – AD Confianca Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Argentino Merlo - Argentino Quilmes | 2.10 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Deportivo Moron - Deportivo Madryn | 1.95 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 1.97 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Warta Sieradz - LKS Lodz II | 2.05 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Slovacko - FC Zorya Lugansk | 1.96 | 1.31% |
| WIN | EC Juventude - Vila Nova | 1.84 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Hwaseong FC - Paju Frontier FC | 1.93 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Gimcheon Sangmu FC - Bucheon | 2.06 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Houston Dynamo II - St Louis City II | 1 | 1.89 | 1.31% | 12 Jul 01:00 |
| Los Angeles FC II - Portland Timbers II | 1 | 2.07 | 1.04% | 12 Jul 04:00 |
| Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) - Northern Tigers FC (W) | 1 | 2.20 | 1.04% | 12 Jul 09:00 |
| Fremantle City FC (W) - Perth Redstar FC (W) | 1 | 2.25 | 1.59% | 12 Jul 09:00 |
| GAIS - Elfsborg | 1 | 1.95 | 1.04% | 12 Jul 16:30 |
| Figueirense - Volta Redonda | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 14 Jul 01:30 |