Miami FC – Indy Eleven

Model: TIPPSH

Miami FC vs Indy Eleven

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.79
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 16, 2026 3:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 23h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Miami FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Miami FC

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

49/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.71First seen
Current2.79Now
Max odds3.05Highest point
Min odds2.71Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Miami FCHOME
VS
Indy ElevenAWAY
WDLDL
Recent form
WDLWW
Avg goals scored
1.60
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.40
0.20
Shots on target for
4.00
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.20
4.60
Home splitD-L-W-L-W2.20 scored / 2.80 conceded
Away splitD-L-D-L-D0.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.79. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.53% based on n=669 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA USL Championship (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.79
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -6.8% 7D: 8.9% 15D: 24.2% 30D: 16.8%
Model insight

Miami FC – Indy Eleven Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.79. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.53% across 669 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample32
Win Rate43.8%
Profit+5.80u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSVikingur Gota - NSI Runavik2.762.04%
WINDelaware FC - Real Central NJ2.804.53%
LOSSFC Struga Trim & Lum - FC Dinamo City2.994.53%
WINIF Gnistan (W) - PK-35 Vantaa (W)2.552.49%
LOSSEastern Suburbs Auckland - Birkenhead United2.794.53%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Seongnam FC - Busan I Park13.014.53%18 Jul 12:30
Pick
1 @ 2.79
Kickoff
Lug 16, 2026 3:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.53% • n=669
Start
Starts in 1d 23h
Updated
Updated 6m ago
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