Shanghai Shenhua (W) – Henan (W)

Model: TipTromba35H

Shanghai Shenhua (W) vs Henan (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 14, 2026 10:00 AM
ResultLOSS0 - 6
StartStarted 21h 6m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.85% · n=519
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 23h 8m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Shanghai Shenhua (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Shanghai Shenhua (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

48/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.35First seen
Current3.00Now
Max odds3.00Highest point
Min odds2.35Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Shanghai Shenhua (W)HOME
VS
Henan (W)AWAY
LWDDW
Recent form
WW
Avg goals scored
1.00
4.00
Defensive weakness
1.40
0.50
Shots on target for
6.20
10.50
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
7.00
Home splitL-D0.00 scored / 3.00 conceded
Away splitW6.00 scored / 0.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.00. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.85% based on n=519 historical similar picks. The match belongs to China League 1 Women (cn). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.00
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.85% · n=519
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Shanghai Shenhua (W) shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -79.8% 7D: 0.8% 15D: 19.5% 30D: 14.0%
Model insight

Shanghai Shenhua (W) – Henan (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.85% across 519 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample115
Win Rate29.6%
Profit-9.65u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSMerthyr Town - Yeovil3.253.56%
WINClyde - Airdrieonians3.103.85%
LOSSWisla Krakow - Wrexham3.003.85%
LOSSDefensores de Cambaceres - Sacachispas3.203.85%
WINPuiu - PPJ3.102.17%
LOSSAalesund - Molde3.123.85%
WINAguia de Maraba - ABC3.103.85%
WINMP II - HaPK3.002.17%
Pick
1 @ 3.00
Kickoff
Lug 14, 2026 10:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.85% • n=519
Start
Started 21h 6m ago
Updated
Updated 23h 8m ago
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