The Town – North Texas SC

Model: TIPPSH

The Town vs North Texas SC

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 19, 2026 6:00 AM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 1h 8m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3h 10m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is The Town. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: The Town

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

4/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.58First seen
Current1.75Now
Max odds1.75Highest point
Min odds1.58Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

The TownHOME
VS
North Texas SCAWAY
LLWWL
Recent form
WLWDL
Avg goals scored
2.20
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.60
0.80
Shots on target for
6.20
5.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
5.20
Home splitL-L-W-W-L1.80 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitW-L-D-L-W0.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.75. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS Next Pro League (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.75
V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

At a short price, the selection appears more probability-based than value-driven. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to The Town's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 17.5% 7D: 7.2% 15D: 5.9% 30D: 18.1%
Model insight

The Town – North Texas SC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.75. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample216
Win Rate58.3%
Profit-4.43u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSAvondale U23 - St Albans Saints U231.68-9.21%
LOSSChrobry Glogow - Sleza Wroclaw1.71-9.21%
WINKF Fjallabyggd - Sindri1.70-9.21%
LOSSMan Utd - Wrexham1.71-9.21%
WINBeijing Guoan U20 - Henan U201.64-7.35%
WINHouston Dynamo II - Colorado Rapids II1.66-9.21%
WINMontpellier - Le Puy1.68-9.21%
LOSSNorthcote City - Manningham United Blues1.62-9.21%
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Suduva Marijampole - Hegelmann Litauen11.71-9.21%20 Jul 17:46
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Pick
1 @ 1.75
Kickoff
Lug 19, 2026 6:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970
Start
Started 1h 8m ago
Updated
Updated 3h 10m ago
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