Athlone Town U20 – Derry City U20

Model: TIPPSA

Athlone Town U20 vs Derry City U20

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.24
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 18, 2026 5:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 4h 24m
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 7m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Derry City U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Derry City U20

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

25/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.95First seen
Current2.27Now
Max odds2.27Highest point
Min odds1.95Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Athlone Town U20HOME
VS
Derry City U20AWAY
LL
Recent form
DLLDW
Avg goals scored
0.50
2.20
Defensive weakness
2.00
2.00
Shots on target for
1.50
5.60
SoT conceded pressure
7.50
4.80
Home splitN/AN/A scored / N/A conceded
Away splitL-L-D-W2.00 scored / 2.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.24. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.84% based on n=515 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Republic of Ireland U20 League (ie). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.24
V2 BandNONEROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Derry City U20. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Derry City U20 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 20.2% 7D: -10.6% 15D: 1.3% 30D: 15.1%
Model insight

Athlone Town U20 – Derry City U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.24. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.84% across 515 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample42
Win Rate47.6%
Profit+0.63u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINFinn Harps - Bray Wanderers2.08-0.84%
WINSpartak Moscow U19 - Lokomotiv Moscow U192.21-0.84%
LOSSFC Nordsjaelland - Sparta Prague2.17-0.84%
LOSSBATE Borisov - AF Elbasani2.20-0.84%
WINPuskas Academy - Istanbul Basaksehir2.03-0.84%
WINKelty Hearts - Queen's Park2.20-0.84%
LOSSDrogheda United - Shelbourne2.06-0.84%
WINFenix - Leones de Rosario2.14-0.84%
Active Similar Predictions
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Ningbo Professional U20 - Hubei Istar U2022.05-0.84%18 Jul 13:00
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Pick
2 @ 2.24
Kickoff
Lug 18, 2026 5:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.84% • n=515
Start
Starts in 4h 24m
Updated
Updated 7m ago
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