Sport Huancayo II – Comerciantes FC

Model: TIPPSH

Sport Huancayo II vs Comerciantes FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.57
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 19, 2026 12:15 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 15h 57m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 18h 2m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sport Huancayo II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sport Huancayo IIGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

36/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.40First seen
Current2.57Now
Max odds2.57Highest point
Min odds2.40Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sport Huancayo IIHOME
VS
Comerciantes FCAWAY
DDWWL
Recent form
DLDWD
Avg goals scored
0.60
0.60
Defensive weakness
0.60
0.60
Shots on target for
4.60
1.60
SoT conceded pressure
1.80
2.60
Home splitD-D-W-W-D1.00 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitD-L-W-D-D0.40 scored / 0.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.57. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Peru Liga 2 (pe). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.57
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Sport Huancayo II shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Sport Huancayo II has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 31.8% 7D: 13.7% 15D: 12.0% 30D: 19.0%
Model insight

Sport Huancayo II – Comerciantes FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.57. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample91
Win Rate38.5%
Profit-4.33u
Historical Similar Predictions
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WINHNK Segesta - Karlovac2.401.59%
LOSSFC Ajka - Csakvari TK2.401.59%
LOSSRiverside Olympic - Clarence Zebras FC2.471.59%
LOSSPK Keski-Uusimaa - OLS2.351.41%
WINSlovan Bratislava - Pafos FC2.431.59%
WINKeflavik (W) - Haukar (W)2.321.59%
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Pick
1 @ 2.57
Kickoff
Lug 19, 2026 12:15 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Started 15h 57m ago
Updated
Updated 18h 2m ago
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