Model: TIPPSH

Avondale U23 vs St Albans Saints U23

PREDICTION

@ 1.71

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 19, 2026 4:15 AM

ResultLOSS0 - 0

StartStarted 11h 55m ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -8.30% · n=180

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 14h 20m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Avondale U23. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Avondale U23Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

3/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.67First seen

Current1.69Now

Max odds1.69Highest point

Min odds1.67Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Avondale U23HOME

St Albans Saints U23AWAY

DLWWW

Recent form

DLWDL

Avg goals scored

2.40

0.40

Defensive weakness

1.00

0.60

Shots on target for

5.80

1.80

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

2.60

Home splitD-W-W-W-L3.00 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitD-W-W-W-W1.60 scored / 0.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.71. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -8.30% based on n=180 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia NPL Victoria U23 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.71

V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 BandNONEROI -8.30% · n=180

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market strongly favors Avondale U23, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Avondale U23 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 32.3% 7D: 19.4% 15D: 11.6% 30D: 19.5%

Model insight

Avondale U23 – St Albans Saints U23 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.71. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -9.21% and -8.30%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample217

Win Rate58.1%

Profit-5.43u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Japan Soccer College - Artista Asama	1.71	-6.04%
LOSS	Chrobry Glogow - Sleza Wroclaw	1.71	-9.21%
WIN	KF Fjallabyggd - Sindri	1.70	-9.21%
LOSS	Man Utd - Wrexham	1.71	-9.21%
WIN	Beijing Guoan U20 - Henan U20	1.64	-7.35%
LOSS	The Town - North Texas SC	1.74	-9.21%
WIN	Houston Dynamo II - Colorado Rapids II	1.66	-9.21%
WIN	Montpellier - Le Puy	1.68	-9.21%

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HK Kopavogur - IF Vestri	1	1.70	-9.21%	20 Jul 21:15
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Tromso - Hradec Kralove	1	1.70	-9.21%	23 Jul 19:00

Pick

1 @ 1.71

Kickoff

Lug 19, 2026 4:15 AM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-8.30% • n=180

Start

Started 11h 55m ago

Updated

Updated 14h 20m ago