Model: TIPPSH

Nautico vs Londrina

PREDICTION

@ 1.73

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 23, 2026 4:30 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3d 12h

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 11h 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Nautico. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: NauticoGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.067 | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

4/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

NauticoHOME

LondrinaAWAY

LLDLL

Recent form

DDWDW

Avg goals scored

0.80

2.00

Defensive weakness

1.80

0.60

Shots on target for

4.60

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

5.40

3.80

Home splitD-L-L-W-W1.00 scored / 0.40 conceded

Away splitD-D-L-L-W1.40 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.73. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie B (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.73

V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market is strongly leaning toward Nautico, but the statistical edge looks less pronounced. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 32.3% 7D: 19.4% 15D: 11.6% 30D: 19.5%

Model insight

Nautico – Londrina Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.73. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample217

Win Rate58.1%

Profit-5.43u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Japan Soccer College - Artista Asama	1.71	-6.04%
LOSS	Avondale U23 - St Albans Saints U23	1.68	-9.21%
LOSS	Chrobry Glogow - Sleza Wroclaw	1.71	-9.21%
WIN	KF Fjallabyggd - Sindri	1.70	-9.21%
LOSS	Man Utd - Wrexham	1.71	-9.21%
WIN	Beijing Guoan U20 - Henan U20	1.64	-7.35%
LOSS	The Town - North Texas SC	1.74	-9.21%
WIN	Houston Dynamo II - Colorado Rapids II	1.66	-9.21%

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HK Kopavogur - IF Vestri	1	1.70	-9.21%	20 Jul 21:15

Pick

1 @ 1.73

Kickoff

Lug 23, 2026 4:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970

Start

Starts in 3d 12h

Updated

Updated 11h 9m ago