FC Arges Pitesti – Petrolul Ploiesti

Model: TIPPSH

FC Arges Pitesti vs Petrolul Ploiesti

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.18
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 24, 2026 10:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 3d 5h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Arges Pitesti. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC Arges PitestiGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.001 | A: 0.058

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

39/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.18First seen
Current2.40Now
Max odds2.40Highest point
Min odds2.18Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC Arges PitestiHOME
VS
Petrolul PloiestiAWAY
LWWWD
Recent form
WDDLW
Avg goals scored
2.40
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.20
Shots on target for
5.80
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.00
5.20
Home splitW-D-L-D-L1.60 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-D-L1.40 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.18. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Romania Liga I (ro). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.18
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives FC Arges Pitesti a useful statistical edge. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to FC Arges Pitesti's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 38.3% 7D: 26.2% 15D: 15.7% 30D: 20.5%
Model insight

FC Arges Pitesti – Petrolul Ploiesti Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.18. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample251
Win Rate45.8%
Profit-11.80u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCS Corvinul Hunedoara - FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc2.053.37%
LOSSBraga - Celta Vigo2.033.37%
LOSSColumbus Crew II - Philadelphia Union II2.173.37%
LOSSSpartans - Stirling2.252.49%
WINBFA Vilnius - FK Ekranas2.253.15%
LOSSNautico - EC Juventude2.273.15%
WINClub Atletico Temperley - Tristan Suarez2.412.49%
WINFK Jelgava - SC Grobinas2.053.37%
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Pick
1 @ 2.18
Kickoff
Lug 24, 2026 10:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=795
Start
Starts in 3d 5h
Updated
Updated 6m ago
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