Model: TIPPSH

Birmingham Legion FC vs New Mexico United

PREDICTION

@ 2.10

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 25, 2026 4:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 13h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 7m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Birmingham Legion FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Birmingham Legion FCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.05First seen

Current2.10Now

Max odds2.10Highest point

Min odds1.97Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Birmingham Legion FCHOME

New Mexico UnitedAWAY

WDLDD

Recent form

WWWDW

Avg goals scored

1.40

2.40

Defensive weakness

1.20

1.00

Shots on target for

5.20

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

4.20

4.80

Home splitW-L-D-L-W1.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitW-W-W-D-L1.40 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.10. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA USL Championship (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.10

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Birmingham Legion FC has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 53.8% 7D: 31.3% 15D: 16.0% 30D: 22.3%

Model insight

Birmingham Legion FC – New Mexico United Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.10. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample347

Win Rate47.0%

Profit-10.22u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Penarol Reserves - Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves	2.13	1.04%
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WIN	Buzios - Barra Mansa	2.35	1.59%
WIN	Sao Joao del Rei U20 - Inter De Minas U20	2.24	1.04%
WIN	South East United FC - Launceston United	1.95	1.04%
WIN	St Pauli - HNK Gorica	2.01	1.04%
LOSS	Changchun Dazhong (W) - Sichuan Jiannanchun Women	2.13	1.04%
LOSS	Shaanxi Zhidan (W) - Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)	2.00	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.10

Kickoff

Lug 25, 2026 4:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Starts in 2d 13h

Updated

Updated 7m ago