Sampaio Correa RJ – Resende RJ

Model: TipA1

Sampaio Correa RJ vs Resende RJ

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.60
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 23, 2026 2:30 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 22h 39m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.63% · n=305
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.70% · n=112
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 14m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Resende RJ. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Resende RJGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: -0.034

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

59/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.60First seen
Current3.89Now
Max odds4.10Highest point
Min odds3.55Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sampaio Correa RJHOME
VS
Resende RJAWAY
WLDLW
Recent form
DLWLL
Avg goals scored
0.60
0.60
Defensive weakness
0.60
1.20
Shots on target for
2.80
3.00
SoT conceded pressure
6.40
3.80
Home splitD-W-D-D-L1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-L-W-W-D1.20 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.60. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.70% based on n=112 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Copa Rio (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.60
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.63% · n=305
V4 BandHIGHROI 5.70% · n=112
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 24.3% 7D: 22.7% 15D: 18.2% 30D: 21.8%
Model insight

Sampaio Correa RJ – Resende RJ Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.60. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.63% across 305 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.70% across 112 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample21
Win Rate38.1%
Profit+8.60u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSNaestved - FC Helsingor3.752.27%
LOSSMarine - Colwyn Bay3.752.27%
WINUniversitatea Cluj - Nyiregyhaza Spartacus3.752.27%
WINSerrano - Sao Goncalo3.702.63%
WINFC Trinity Zlin - MFK Skalica3.502.63%
LOSSFerroviario Lichinga - Costa Do Sol3.502.63%
LOSSAdelaide Cobras - Eastern United3.702.63%
LOSSSportivo y Biblioteca Atenas - CA Costa Brava3.802.27%
Pick
2 @ 3.60
Kickoff
Lug 23, 2026 2:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.63% • n=305
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.70% • n=112
Start
Starts in 22h 39m
Updated
Updated 14m ago
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