Forfar vs Brechin
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Brechin. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: BrechinGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.240 | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.00. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 12.47% based on n=254 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Scotland League Cup (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market prices Brechin as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. Comparable matches classified within the ELITE confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. Brechin is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Forfar – Brechin Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Cadiz - Orlando Pirates | 2.75 | 14.27% |
| WIN | Worgl SV - FC Kufstein | 3.00 | 12.47% |
| LOSS | Istra 1961 - Milton Keynes Dons | 2.90 | 12.47% |
| LOSS | CD Nueva Santa Cruz - Virginia USC | 2.75 | 9.73% |
| LOSS | Pogon Mogilno - Grom Nowy Staw | 3.10 | 12.47% |
| WIN | Sobradinho U20 - Capital CF U20 | 2.80 | 9.73% |
| LOSS | New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising FC | 2.80 | 12.47% |
| LOSS | All Boys U20 - Villa Dalmine U20 | 3.00 | 12.47% |