Real Murcia vs Port Vale
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Real Murcia. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Real MurciaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.020Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.60. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.70% based on n=209 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Real Murcia has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Real Murcia – Port Vale Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Barry Town - Gloucester | 2.40 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Eastern Lions - Box Hill United | 2.48 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Carolina Core FC - Chicago Fire II | 2.43 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | FC Strani - FC Vsetin | 2.67 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | United Kolkata SC - Bhawanipore FC | 2.43 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Kedah FA U20 - Touchtronics FC U20 | 2.43 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Keflavik - IA Akranes | 2.36 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Vikingur Reykjavik - Hapoel Beer Sheva | 2.43 | 1.59% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Star - Logan Lightning | 1 | 2.55 | 1.59% | 23 May 09:00 |
| FC Lahti - FC Ilves | 1 | 2.65 | 1.59% | 30 May 16:00 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| Fyllingsdalen - Åsane Fotball 2 | 1 | 2.48 | 1.59% | 26 Jul 15:00 |
| SC Schwaz - SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 26 Jul 17:00 |
| Rangers de Talca - Deportes Copiapo | 1 | 2.47 | 1.59% | 26 Jul 18:30 |
| Houston Dynamo II - Austin FC II | 1 | 2.47 | 1.59% | 27 Jul 01:00 |