Model: TIPPSH

Keflavik vs IA Akranes

PREDICTION

@ 2.39

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 20, 2026 11:15 PM

ResultWIN4 - 1

StartStarted 4h 5m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 8h 32m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Keflavik. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: KeflavikGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.48First seen

Current2.39Now

Max odds2.48Highest point

Min odds2.35Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

KeflavikHOME

IA AkranesAWAY

WLDWD

Recent form

LLLLL

Avg goals scored

2.20

1.60

Defensive weakness

1.60

3.40

Shots on target for

5.20

3.40

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

7.80

Home splitW-D-W-L-W2.20 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-W-W2.00 scored / 2.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.39. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland Premier League (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.39

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Keflavik. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Keflavik is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 41.4% 7D: 24.8% 15D: 17.9% 30D: 20.8%

Model insight

Keflavik – IA Akranes Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.39. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample170

Win Rate44.1%

Profit+3.19u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Al Ansar Beirut - Al Nejmeh	2.17	1.04%
WIN	Buzios - Barra Mansa	2.35	1.59%
WIN	Sao Joao del Rei U20 - Inter De Minas U20	2.24	1.04%
WIN	Marconi Stallions U20 - Sydney United 58 U20	2.23	1.31%
WIN	Boroondara Eagles (W) - Melbourne Victory NPL (W)	2.45	1.59%
LOSS	Sport Huancayo II - Comerciantes FC	2.53	1.59%
WIN	HNK Segesta - Karlovac	2.40	1.59%
LOSS	FC Ajka - Csakvari TK	2.40	1.59%

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Pick

1 @ 2.39

Kickoff

Lug 20, 2026 11:15 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Started 4h 5m ago

Updated

Updated 8h 32m ago