Model: TIPPSH

NEC vs Elversberg

PREDICTION

@ 2.00

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 25, 2026 4:00 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 1

StartStarted 2d 1h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 2d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is NEC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: NECGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.039 | A: -0.129

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

29/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.00First seen

Current2.09Now

Max odds2.12Highest point

Min odds2.00Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

NECHOME

ElversbergAWAY

LWWLL

Recent form

WLDWW

Avg goals scored

2.80

2.20

Defensive weakness

1.60

0.60

Shots on target for

9.00

3.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.40

2.20

Home splitL-W-W-L-W2.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitW-W-L-D-D2.20 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.00. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.00

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. NEC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -2.9% 7D: 11.2% 15D: 13.0% 30D: 20.8%

Model insight

NEC – Elversberg Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.00. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample456

Win Rate48.0%

Profit-22.65u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Police AC - Aryan FC	1.90	1.04%
LOSS	Cruzeiro - Botafogo	1.80	1.04%
WIN	Fuerte San Francisco Reserves - CD Platense Zacatecoluca Reserves	2.01	1.31%
LOSS	CD Aguila Reserves - CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves	1.99	1.04%
WIN	Eintracht Frankfurt - Trabzonspor	2.00	1.04%
WIN	Kamuzu Barracks - MAFCO	2.15	1.04%
LOSS	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE - SC Sopron	1.89	1.04%
WIN	Karonga United - Creck SC	1.88	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.00

Kickoff

Lug 25, 2026 4:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Started 2d 1h ago

Updated

Updated 2d 3h ago