Model: TIPPSH

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tulsa

PREDICTION

@ 2.09

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 30, 2026 3:30 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 18h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.63% · n=470

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 14m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Pittsburgh Riverhounds. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Pittsburgh RiverhoundsGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.041 | A: -0.005

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.92First seen

Current2.09Now

Max odds2.11Highest point

Min odds1.90Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Pittsburgh RiverhoundsHOME

TulsaAWAY

LWLWL

Recent form

DWLLW

Avg goals scored

1.20

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.20

1.00

Shots on target for

3.20

2.00

SoT conceded pressure

2.80

3.60

Home splitL-W-W-L-W1.20 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-L-D-W-W1.00 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.09. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.63% based on n=470 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA USL Championship (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.09

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandLOWROI 1.63% · n=470

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Pittsburgh Riverhounds's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -11.9% 7D: 2.4% 15D: 9.7% 30D: 19.0%

Model insight

Pittsburgh Riverhounds – Tulsa Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.09. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.04% and 1.63%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample398

Win Rate47.7%

Profit-7.23u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Fuerte San Francisco Reserves - CD Platense Zacatecoluca Reserves	2.01	1.31%
LOSS	CD Aguila Reserves - CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves	1.99	1.04%
WIN	Eintracht Frankfurt - Trabzonspor	2.00	1.04%
WIN	Kamuzu Barracks - MAFCO	2.15	1.04%
LOSS	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE - SC Sopron	1.89	1.04%
WIN	Karonga United - Creck SC	1.88	1.04%
LOSS	Malmo FF - Elfsborg	1.87	1.04%
LOSS	Rosenborg 2 - Strindheim	1.87	1.04%

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CRB - Vila Nova	1	1.95	1.31%	28 Jul 00:30
Union Espanola - Deportes Recoleta	1	1.85	1.31%	28 Jul 01:00
Tauro FC - Sporting San Miguelito	1	2.17	1.31%	28 Jul 03:30
CA Tigre - Nacional De Football	1	2.08	1.04%	29 Jul 00:00
Instituto AC Cordoba - Platense	1	2.13	1.04%	30 Jul 02:30

Pick

1 @ 2.09

Kickoff

Lug 30, 2026 3:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.63% • n=470

Start

Starts in 2d 18h

Updated

Updated 14m ago