Delfin SC – Leones FC

Model: TIPPSA

Delfin SC vs Leones FC

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.95
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 26, 2026 10:15 PM
ResultWIN0 - 1
StartStarted 5h 22m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.78% · n=52
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 7h 41m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Leones FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Leones FCGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.002 | A: 0.008

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

51/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.46First seen
Current3.95Now
Max odds3.95Highest point
Min odds3.46Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Delfin SCHOME
VS
Leones FCAWAY
LLWWL
Recent form
WDWDW
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.00
0.40
Shots on target for
3.60
6.20
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
4.60
Home splitL-W-D-L-W1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-W-L1.40 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.95. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.78% based on n=52 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ecuador LigaPro Serie A (ec). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.95
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.78% · n=52
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Leones FC has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Leones FC's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -18.3% 7D: 0.9% 15D: 9.0% 30D: 19.9%
Model insight

Delfin SC – Leones FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.95. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.78% across 52 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample18
Win Rate11.1%
Profit-10.20u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSCD Los Chankas - Sport Boys4.073.92%
LOSSItuano - Figueirense3.812.78%
LOSSSarpsborg 08 U19 - KFUM U193.893.99%
LOSSVaxjo (W) - IK Uppsala (W)4.173.92%
LOSSUSA - Paraguay3.973.92%
LOSSAskoe Oedt - Deutschlandsberger SC4.042.78%
LOSSRanheim - Sandnes Ulf3.753.92%
LOSSJunior - Independiente Santa Fe4.103.92%
Pick
2 @ 3.95
Kickoff
Lug 26, 2026 10:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.78% • n=52
Start
Started 5h 22m ago
Updated
Updated 7h 41m ago
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